Common

Robert Cahaly

21st-century American pollster and political consultant

Robert Cahaly

Common card · No. 410563

Robert C. Cahaly (born October 16, 1969) is an American pollster who founded of the Trafalgar Group. He was a political consultant for Republican Party candidates. Cahaly founded Trafalgar Group in 2016. He drew attention in the aftermath of the election because Trafalgar had was one of a small number of polling firms to predict Donald Trump's victory over Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election. Cahaly stated that Trafalgar's polling methodology was more accurate than other polls because it utilized methods to increase the weighting of "shy, pro-Trump" voters, which he argued were underrepresented in most polls. Cahaly does not disclose Trafalgar's group's methods of polling or its process for ascertaining the volume of shy Trump voters in the electorate. Leading up to the 2020 presidential election, Cahaly garnered substantial media attention for his assertions that Trump would prevail over Joe Biden in the 2020 election, a claim that contradicted the polling consensus. Cahaly...

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