2024 YR4

Uncommon card · No. 195198

2024 YR4 is an asteroid with an estimated diameter of 53 to 67 metres (174 to 220 ft) that is classified as an Apollo-type (Earth-crossing) near-Earth object. From 27 January to 20 February 2025, it had an impact rating of 3 on the Torino scale, reflecting its size and an estimated probability greater than 1% that it would impact Earth on 22 December 2032. The estimated impact probability peaked at 3.1% on 18 February 2025. By 23 February, additional observations effectively ruled out 2024 YR4 impacting Earth in 2032 and lowered its Torino rating to 0. As of 11 May 2025, there was about a 4% chance of a Moon impact on 22 December 2032 around 15:19 UTC, but two additional observations by the James Webb Space Telescope in February 2026 reduced that chance to 0%. 2024 YR4 will safely pass 21200±2300 km from the surface of the Moon. Pending precovery images from 2016 also support the close approach distance. The asteroid was discovered by the Chilean station of the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact...

Read on Wikipedia · Image ESO/O. Hainaut et al., CC BY 4.0