Uncommon
Seat projections for the next United Kingdom general election
Various pollsters attempt to predict the distribution of seats after the next United Kingdom general election, which, due to the system of first-past-the-post voting, has been seen to differ significantly from opinion polling for the popular vote. The dates of the polls range from the previous general election, held on 4 July 2024, to the present. Multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) is the most common methodology for projecting seats nationally. Multiple polling companies have conducted such polling and modelling for the next election, these are tabulated below. Also included are some polls compiled via Political Analysis through Regional and Local Insights System (POLARIS), a novel model created by JL Partners which uses council by-elections to predict election outcomes. POLARIS polls from January 2025 onwards are also combined with a representative survey data, with the data used shifted to reflect the pollster's most recent national polling. 326 seats are needed for...
Open boosters, collect cards and trade them. Free to play.
Play for free